Fed
Fed Rate Cuts
Topic
N/A
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 35
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
There will likely be little market reaction to the December Fed meeting minutes, as the market does not expect another rate cut until April 2026.
"With the market not expecting another rate cut until April, we probably won't see much reaction to t..."
Dec 29, 2025
Pending
Author predicts greater than 22% chance of a Fed rate cut in January 2026.
"I do think that there's more than a 22% chance of a rate cut in January."
Dec 20, 2025
Pending
Fed rate cuts are predicted to be a significant catalyst in 2026.
"Fed rate cuts are going to be a big catalyst next year."
Dec 19, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Fed will validate its outlook for three rate cuts in 2025 at its December meeting.
"3.6 incidentally is three cuts this year, which it looks like the Fed is going to validate."
Dec 9, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the Fed will not announce more rate cuts beyond the December cut, given current inflation and growth data.
"is telling us that we're not getting more rate cuts, because realistically 3% inflation, 4% growth, ..."
Dec 7, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Fed will validate three rate cuts for 2025.
"3.6 incidentally is three cuts this year, which it looks like the Fed is going to validate."
Dec 7, 2025
Correct
Predicted a 66% chance of a Fed rate cut in April 2026 and a 72.5% chance in September 2026.
"The next one would arrive in April 66% chance. Thereafter, September 72.5%."
Dec 7, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the Fed will likely cut rates by 25 basis points.
"50 points, but that I don't think that's going to happen. uh 25 basis points will be probably uh wha..."
Dec 7, 2025
Correct
Questioned if the Fed will announce one or two rate cuts (but not three) in its Summary of Economic Projections this week, implying this is the likely scenario.
"Are we going to get one cut? Are we going to get two? We're not going to get three. Maybe that's wha..."
Dec 7, 2025
Correct
A 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed, though unlikely, would signal panic and a loss of control, leading to a negative market reaction with potential significant drops (historically 29-45% for the S&P).
"The probability is against them, but it is a possibility. And if it happens, it's probably bad for t..."
Sep 15, 2025
Pending
The odds of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut will increase to 20-30% by the end of September 2025.
"I would imagine—and I'm going to put my head on the block here—I'm going to say, 'I would imagine th..."
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
The odds for a 50 basis point Fed rate cut will reach 20% within the next week (after publication).
"Wouldn't surprise me to see those odds hit 20%."
Sep 9, 2025
Pending
Fed members are expected to forecast fewer than two interest rate cuts for the remainder of 2025 due to rising inflation.
"It's probably going to go down based on the inflation rising. They don't really have any incentive t..."
Jun 18, 2025
Pending
Federal Reserve predicted to make 1-2 interest rate cuts by the end of 2025.
"So I think that we still have a good chance of getting at least one to two uh fed rate cuts uh by th..."
Jun 3, 2025
Pending
The Fed is predicted to make a couple of interest rate cuts in 2025, potentially within 15-30 days of March 10, 2025.
"I do think we still get a couple of rate Cuts this year maybe even in about 15 to 30 days"
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
The Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at their very first meeting following the inflation report.
"they're likely just going to cut 25 basis points the very first meeting"
Sep 13, 2024
Pending
The Fed will implement only one rate cut in 2024, occurring in September.
"I'm going to say one I actually think it's going to be one in September and then I think they're goi..."
Aug 9, 2024
Pending
The Fed will implement two 25 basis point rate cuts (total 50 bps) in 2024.
"my prediction is we're going to get 225 bip rate Cuts how about that one"
Aug 9, 2024
Pending
The Fed will implement two rate cuts in 2024, likely one in September and one in November.
"I'm in the in the writer camp today one in September and possibly one uh probably one in November be..."
Aug 9, 2024
Pending
The market is almost 100% pricing in a Fed rate cut in September 2024.
"the market certainly is um priced in almost 100% a rate cut in September"
Aug 2, 2024
Pending
The market has not fully priced in Fed rate cuts for December 2024 and early 2025.
"I don't think that Market has really priced in uh the cuts for next year so um certainly I think 100..."
Aug 2, 2024
Pending
The market is currently pricing in an 87% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut of at least 0.25% in September, with a 13% chance of a 0.50% or larger cut.
"the market is now pricing in 87% odds the FED cuts at least a quarter of a percent in September and ..."
Jul 29, 2024
Pending
The host predicted the Federal Reserve would begin cutting rates as early as September 2024, with more cuts following in subsequent months.
"we have rate Cuts coming as early as September and then we might have a few more to follow in the mo..."
Jul 23, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to implement 2-3 rate cuts of 25 basis points each in 2024.
"they're probably going to give the market a couple of 25 basis point rate Cuts is my guess at some p..."
Jul 19, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates in September 2024.
"it to me it makes the most sense that they cut in September at this point...I personally think that ..."
Jul 19, 2024
Pending
Jerome Powell is predicted to wait until after the US election (possibly two days after) to announce any interest rate cuts, to avoid political backlash.
"in my mind it makes a lot more sense for Powell to wait till after the election why because the Powe..."
Jul 10, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates if the unemployment rate rises above 4.5%.
"if unemployment goes above 4.5% then you got to cut"
Jun 13, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in July or August 2024.
"if you're expecting a cut in the next month or two not happening"
Jun 13, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates until the CPI (Consumer Price Index) report shows two consecutive months with inflation in the 2% range.
"my opinion always from the beginning was the Fed was not going to start cutting until they got two c..."
Jun 13, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to implement a rate cut during the summer of 2024 (June, July, or September).
"I tend to think that the FED will cut this summer that's sort of my base case is that a rate cut we ..."
May 6, 2024
Pending
The speaker predicts multiple Fed rate cuts in 2024, with one potentially occurring in summer 2024.
"I suspect you could get multiple Cuts this year and I think it's possible to get a cut this summer"
Apr 19, 2024
Pending
The market is predicted to underestimate the number of Fed rate cuts expected over the next year (April 2024 - April 2025).
"I think they're underestimating the number of rate Cuts we're going to get over the next year"
Apr 19, 2024
Pending
The current market trend of pricing out Fed rate cuts is predicted to reverse, leading to rate cuts being priced back in.
"I think the pricing out of rate Cuts will cause them to get priced back in"
Apr 19, 2024
Pending
Predicted that rate cuts currently being priced out by the market will eventually be priced in.
"the pricing out of all these rate Cuts is going to cause them to get priced in"
Apr 18, 2024
Pending
Predicted the Federal Reserve will begin to implement rate cuts once the market fully prices in no rate cuts.
"I think it's going to go back the other way because once the market fully prices in no rate Cuts tha..."
Apr 18, 2024
Pending
If the US sees a few weak jobs data reports, the Fed is predicted to actively consider rate cuts again.
"if we get a couple weak jobs data numbers you got to think that the FED puts it right back in play"
Mar 4, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates in 2024.
"I still think they do [cut rates this year]"
Mar 4, 2024
Pending
The Fed is predicted to initially cut rates by 25-50 basis points, then, finding it insufficient, will cut by several hundred basis points (100-200bps) if the economy deteriorates.
"my guess if I had to guess I would say you know they'll probably cut initially they'll probably cut ..."
Jan 8, 2024
Pending
The Fed is predicted to make its first rate cut in the first half of 2024, most likely in March.
"my guess is that they will cut this year I'm guessing the FED will will get the First Rate cut in th..."
Jan 8, 2024
Pending